Tracking project effort vs estimates: Compare approved estimate with recorded hours using a fixed cut-off date; For incomplete work, forecast total = recorded + fresh remaining estimate; Investigate causes of variance, correcting misclassified or omitted work
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Budgets & Time

Part of Project budgets and time tracking

Comparing project estimates with recorded time

Compare approved hour estimates with recorded time and a fresh remaining-effort forecast using consistent work packages and counting rules.

Compare estimated and recorded time for the same work and period, then ask how much effort remains. The difference between an estimate and logged hours describes a completed work package. For unfinished work, logged hours alone cannot show whether the estimate will hold.

Set a stable comparison

Choose the approved estimate version and its work-package definitions. Match time entries to those packages, including review, rework and project-specific meetings where the estimate covered them.

State whether the estimate includes all effort or only billable work. Counting non-billable hours on one side but not the other makes the variance misleading.

Use a cut-off date and check for entries still waiting to be recorded or corrected. Keep approved additional scope identifiable rather than silently enlarging the original estimate. Show an authorised revised estimate where relevant while retaining the earlier version.

Record for each work package / Why it matters

Original and approved revised estimates
Identifies the plan being tested
Hours recorded to the cut-off
Shows effort already used
Fresh estimate of hours remaining
Shows effort still expected
Completion or acceptance state
Prevents partial work from looking finished
Cause of a material difference
Supports a decision

Forecast unfinished work

For completed work, subtract the applicable estimate from recorded hours. A positive result means more effort was used than estimated.

For open work, add recorded hours to a fresh estimate of remaining hours and compare that forecast total with the approved estimate. Do not assume that remaining effort equals the original allowance less logged time.

Here is a hypothetical snapshot, with all figures in hours and no scope change:

Work packageApproved estimateRecordedEstimated remainingForecast total
Discovery, complete1214014
Design, in progress30181836
Build, not started4004040
Project total82325890

The forecast is eight hours above the 82-hour estimate: two in discovery and six in design. Build retains its 40-hour estimate because no new information has changed it. The 90-hour figure is a forecast, not a measured final result.

Investigate the difference

Inspect entries before assigning a cause. Were hours charged to the wrong package? Did the estimate omit a review cycle? Was work repeated after a failed check? Did an approved request add scope?

Correct classification errors and keep additional work separate from estimating error.

A package with few logged hours may also be waiting for an input. Its effort estimate can remain sound while the delivery date is at risk. This comparison concerns effort; scheduling and staff capacity need separate checks.

Check the software's counting rules

Ask whether the product can keep the approved estimate visible, show actual hours by the same work package and capture a fresh remaining estimate without obscuring history. Check how it treats unestimated work and non-billable entries.

At each review, record the estimate version, cut-off, logged hours, remaining estimate and cause of material movement.

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